Acemoglu ch16 — RICH 프리뷰: 확률 동적계획법

Acemoglu (2009) Ch.16 — 31식
본 프리뷰의 위상 — ch06 (deterministic DP) 의 확률 확장. (16.7) Bellman with expectations · (16.10) Envelope · (16.19/16.21) Stochastic Euler · (16.22) Stochastic TVC. (16.24) Hall 1978 PIH random-walk consumption — u'(c) 가 martingale. (16.27) Quadratic PIH closed-form. (16.28-16.33) McCall 1970 job search with reservation wage — 통계물리 first-passage 와 형식 동일.
목차 · Contents (31식, 5 sections)
§16.1Stochastic Bellman 도입
Stochastic Bellman Setup7 eq
(16.2) ★ Stochastic capital dyn Stochastic Capital Dynamics DRAFT vc-passed
$$k(t+1) = f(k(t), z(t)) + (1-\delta)\, k(t) - c(t)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ stochastic capital — z(t) 가 productivity shock.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ stochastic capital — z(t) 가 productivity shock.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ stochastic capital — z(t) 가 productivity shock.
(16.3) History tilde k History tilde k DRAFT vc-passed
$$\tilde k[z^t] = f(\tilde k[z^{t-1}], z(t)) + (1-\delta)\, \tilde k[z^{t-1}] - c[z^t]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ z^t 의 함수로 capital path.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ z^t 의 함수로 capital path.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ z^t 의 함수로 capital path.
(16.4) ★ Sequence problem (stochastic) Sequence Problem (Stochastic) DRAFT vc-passed
$$\max_{\{\tilde k[z^t]\}} \mathbb{E}_t \sum_{t=0}^{\infty} \beta^t\, U(\tilde k[z^{t-1}], \tilde k[z^t], z(t))$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ stochastic sequence problem.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ stochastic sequence problem.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ stochastic sequence problem.
(16.5) Markov policy Markov Policy DRAFT vc-passed
$$k(t+1) = \pi(k(t), z(t))$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ Markov policy — t-independent.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ Markov policy — t-independent.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ Markov policy — t-independent.
(16.6) ★ ★ NGM Bellman NGM Bellman (Stochastic) DRAFT vc-passed
$$V(k, z) = \sup_{y \in [0, f(k,z) + (1-\delta)k]} u(f(k, z) + (1-\delta)k - y) + \beta\, \mathbb{E}[V(y, z') \mid z]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic NGM Bellman func eq.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic NGM Bellman func eq.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ stochastic NGM Bellman func eq.
(16.7) ★ ★ ★ Stochastic Bellman general ★ ★ Stochastic Bellman General DRAFT vc-passed
$$V(x, z) = \sup_{y \in G(x, z)} U(x, y, z) + \beta\, \mathbb{E}[V(y, z') \mid z]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ ★ Bellman func eq with expectations — stochastic DP 정전.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ ★ Bellman func eq with expectations — stochast
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ ★ Bellman func eq with expectations — stochastic DP 정전.
(16.8) Bellman with policy Bellman with Policy DRAFT vc-passed
$$V(x, z) = U(x, \pi(x, z), z) + \beta\, \mathbb{E}[V(\pi(x, z), z') \mid z]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ optimal policy 형태.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ optimal policy 형태.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ optimal policy 형태.
§16.2Principle of Optimality (random)
Principle of Optimality (Random)8 eq
(16.9) Principle of Optimality (header) Principle of Optimality (Header) DRAFT vc-passed
$$\text{Theorem 16.2: V is unique fixed point of } T$$
Intuition
DRAFT — Theorem 16.2 statement.
3세 비유
DRAFT — Theorem 16.2 statement.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — Theorem 16.2 statement.
(16.10) ★ Envelope (stochastic) Envelope (Stochastic) DRAFT vc-passed
$$D_x V(x', z) = D_x U(x', \pi(x', z), z)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ Envelope theorem in stochastic DP.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ Envelope theorem in stochastic DP.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ Envelope theorem in stochastic DP.
(16.11) Assumption 16.6 Assumption 16.6 DRAFT vc-passed
$$\text{(continuity, compactness, monotonicity)}$$
Intuition
DRAFT — Assumption 16.6 (Blackwell-style).
3세 비유
DRAFT — Assumption 16.6 (Blackwell-style).
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — Assumption 16.6 (Blackwell-style).
(16.12) ε-supremum 1 ε-Supremum 1 DRAFT vc-passed
$$\forall \varepsilon > 0,\ \exists x'\ s.t.\ V^*(x(0), z(0)) - V^*(x', z') < \varepsilon$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality.
(16.14) ε-supremum 2 ε-Supremum 2 DRAFT vc-passed
$$\forall \varepsilon > 0,\ \exists y' \in G\ s.t.\ V(x(0), z(0)) - U(x(0), y') - \beta\, \mathbb{E}[V(y')] < \varepsilon$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality on policy.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality on policy.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ε-suboptimality on policy.
(16.15) Optimality equation Optimality Equation DRAFT vc-passed
$$\bar U(x^*_t \mid \tilde x^*[z^{t-1}], z(t)) = V^*(\tilde x^*[z^{t-1}], z(t))$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ optimality of plan.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ optimality of plan.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ optimality of plan.
(16.16) Optimality recursion Optimality Recursion DRAFT vc-passed
$$V^*(\tilde x^*[z^{t-1}], z(t)) = \bar U(x^*_t \mid \tilde x^*[z^{t-1}], z(t))$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ recursion preserved.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ recursion preserved.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ recursion preserved.
(16.17) Sub-optimality elimination Sub-optimality Elimination DRAFT vc-passed
$$\mathbb{E}[\bar U(x^*_{t+1} \mid \tilde x^*[z^t], z(t+1)) \mid z(t)] \geq \mathbb{E}[\bar U(x_{t+1} \mid \tilde x^*[z^t], z(t+1)) \mid z(t)]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ optimality via expectation.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ optimality via expectation.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ optimality via expectation.
§16.3Stochastic Euler equations
Stochastic Euler Equations5 eq
(16.18) Theorem 16.3 statement Theorem 16.3 Statement DRAFT vc-passed
$$V^*(x, z) \leq V(x, z)\ \text{always}$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ V* upper bound.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ V* upper bound.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ V* upper bound.
(16.19) ★ ★ ★ Stochastic Euler (FOC) ★ ★ Stochastic Euler (FOC) DRAFT vc-passed
$$D_y U(x, y^*, z) + \beta\, \mathbb{E}[D_x V(y^*, z') \mid z] = 0$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ ★ stochastic FOC = expected marginal value 0.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ ★ stochastic FOC = expected marginal value 0.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ ★ stochastic FOC = expected marginal value 0.
(16.20) Envelope (FOC form) Envelope (FOC Form) DRAFT vc-passed
$$D_x V(x, z) = D_x U(x, y^*, z)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ Envelope.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ Envelope.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ Envelope.
(16.21) ★ ★ ★ Stochastic Euler (combined) ★ ★ Stochastic Euler (Combined) DRAFT vc-passed
$$D_y U(x, \pi(x, z), z) + \beta\, \mathbb{E}[D_x U(\pi(x, z), \pi(\pi(x, z), z'), z') \mid z] = 0$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic Euler — discrete time.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic Euler — discrete time.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ stochastic Euler — discrete time.
(16.22) ★ ★ Stochastic TVC ★ Stochastic TVC DRAFT vc-passed
$$\lim_{t\to\infty} \beta^t\, \mathbb{E}[D_x U(\tilde x^*[z^{t-1}], \tilde x^*[z^t], z(t)) \cdot \tilde x^*[z^{t-1}] \mid z(0)] = 0$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic transversality.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ stochastic transversality.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Richard Bellman (1957)Dynamic ProgrammingDRAFT — DP 의 정전. 확정과 확률 모두.
David Blackwell (1965)Discounted Dynamic Programming (Annals)DRAFT — Blackwell theorem (compactness).
Stokey & Lucas with Prescott (1989)Recursive Methods in Economic DynamicsDRAFT — modern macro의 표준 DP textbook.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ stochastic transversality.
§16.5Hall Permanent Income Hypothesis
Hall Permanent Income Hypothesis5 eq
(16.23) PIH header PIH Header DRAFT vc-passed
$$\text{Permanent Income Hypothesis}$$
Intuition
DRAFT — PIH 섹션 헤더.
3세 비유
DRAFT — PIH 섹션 헤더.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Milton Friedman (1957)A Theory of the Consumption FunctionDRAFT — permanent income hypothesis.
Robert Hall (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income (JPE)DRAFT — Hall PIH random walk consumption.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — PIH 섹션 헤더.
(16.24) ★ ★ ★ Hall random-walk consumption ★ ★ Hall Random-Walk Consumption DRAFT vc-passed
$$\beta^t\, u'(\tilde c[w^t]) = \frac{1}{(1+r)^t}\, \tilde \lambda[w^t]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ Hall PIH 핵심 — u'(c) 가 martingale.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ Hall PIH 핵심 — u'(c) 가 martingale.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Milton Friedman (1957)A Theory of the Consumption FunctionDRAFT — permanent income hypothesis.
Robert Hall (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income (JPE)DRAFT — Hall PIH random walk consumption.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ Hall PIH 핵심 — u'(c) 가 martingale.
(16.25) ★ ★ Bellman PIH ★ Bellman PIH DRAFT vc-passed
$$u'(c(t)) = \beta\, \mathbb{E}_t\!\left[\frac{\partial V(a(t+1), w(t+1))}{\partial a}\right]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ Hall stochastic Euler.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ Hall stochastic Euler.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Milton Friedman (1957)A Theory of the Consumption FunctionDRAFT — permanent income hypothesis.
Robert Hall (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income (JPE)DRAFT — Hall PIH random walk consumption.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ Hall stochastic Euler.
(16.26) Envelope PIH Envelope PIH DRAFT vc-passed
$$\frac{\partial V(a(t), w(t))}{\partial a} = u'(c(t))$$
Intuition
DRAFT — PIH envelope.
3세 비유
DRAFT — PIH envelope.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Milton Friedman (1957)A Theory of the Consumption FunctionDRAFT — permanent income hypothesis.
Robert Hall (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income (JPE)DRAFT — Hall PIH random walk consumption.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — PIH envelope.
(16.27) ★ ★ Quadratic utility PIH ★ Quadratic Utility PIH DRAFT vc-passed
$$u(c) = \varphi c - \frac{1}{2}c^2,\quad c(t) = (1-\kappa)\, [a(t) + \mathbb{E}_t \sum w(t+s)/(1+r)^s]$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ Hall quadratic PIH — 영구소득 = 소비.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ Hall quadratic PIH — 영구소득 = 소비.
Genealogy
인물저작note
Milton Friedman (1957)A Theory of the Consumption FunctionDRAFT — permanent income hypothesis.
Robert Hall (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle Permanent Income (JPE)DRAFT — Hall PIH random walk consumption.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ Hall quadratic PIH — 영구소득 = 소비.
§16.6McCall job search reservation wage
McCall Job Search Reservation Wage6 eq
(16.28) ★ ★ McCall accept-reject Bellman ★ McCall Accept-Reject Bellman DRAFT vc-passed
$$V(a') = \max\!\left\{V_{\text{accept}}(a'),\ \beta\, \mathbb{E}V\right\}$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall search 의 정전.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall search 의 정전.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ McCall search 의 정전.
(16.29) Expected V Expected V DRAFT vc-passed
$$\mathbb{E}V = \int_0^{\bar a} V(a)\, dH(a)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ expected value over wage distribution.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ expected value over wage distribution.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ expected value over wage distribution.
(16.30) ★ ★ McCall Bellman expanded ★ McCall Bellman Expanded DRAFT vc-passed
$$V(a') = \max\!\left\{\frac{a'}{1-\beta},\ \beta\, \int_0^{\bar a} V(a)\, dH(a)\right\}$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ McCall 분석적 형태.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ McCall 분석적 형태.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ McCall 분석적 형태.
(16.31) Reservation R = β E V Reservation R = β E V DRAFT vc-passed
$$\frac{R}{1-\beta} = \int_0^{\bar a} \beta\, V(a)\, dH(a)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ reservation wage 정의.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ reservation wage 정의.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ reservation wage 정의.
(16.32) ★ ★ Reservation wage equation ★ Reservation Wage Equation DRAFT vc-passed
$$\frac{R}{1-\beta} = \beta\, \frac{R\, H(R)}{1-\beta} + \int_R^{\bar a} \frac{a}{1-\beta}\, dH(a)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage equation.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage equation.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage equation.
(16.33) ★ ★ R closed-form ★ R Closed-Form DRAFT vc-passed
$$\frac{R}{1-\beta} = \beta\!\left(\frac{R\, H(R)}{1-\beta} + \int_R^{\bar a} \frac{a}{1-\beta}\, dH(a)\right)$$
Intuition
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage 의 closed form.
3세 비유
DRAFT — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage 의 closed form.
Genealogy
인물저작note
John McCall (1970)Economics of Information and Job Search (QJE)DRAFT — McCall job search 모형.
Mortensen & Pissarides (1994)Job Creation and Job Destruction (RES)DRAFT — search/matching 모형.
Applications
  • Bellman 1957 stochastic DP
  • Brock-Mirman 1972 stochastic NGM
  • Hall 1978 PIH
  • McCall 1970 job search
  • Mortensen-Pissarides search/matching
Civilizational Relevance
DRAFT — ★ canonical bridge — ★ ★ McCall reservation wage 의 closed form.

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